Economic policy of Poland in its transformation period and the problem of unemployment

Abstract

The paper deals with an assessment of implementing the postulates of stabilizing policy in Poland in 1992-2001. A special attention is drawn to difficulties in maintaining the rate of unemployment at a natural level and to the reasons of high rate of unemployment established in 1998-2001. Basing on the carried out research, the author designs models of auto-regression which are used in the assessment of the future rate of unemployment. In this paper, there are widely applied quantitative methods, such as: Snecodor’s F-tests of significance, Pearson’s correlation coefficient, and models of auto-regression including a multiple one.